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    Day 2 FW Outlook >
Mar 21, 2019 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Thu Mar 21 16:46:02 UTC 2019 (Print Version | 20190321 1700Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20190321 1700Z Day 1 FireWX KML)
Day 1 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 1 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 211645

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1145 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2019

   Valid 211700Z - 221200Z

   No changes are needed to the ongoing outlook, with Elevated fire
   weather conditions expected for a few hours this afternoon across
   parts of southern/eastern GA and northern FL. While locally elevated
   fire weather conditions are possible farther westward across
   portions of the Florida Panhandle, the spotty/brief nature of
   sustained wind speeds near 15 mph coupled with relatively marginal
   fuel dryness for large fire starts precludes the expansion of the
   Elevated fire weather area. See previous discussion below for more
   information.

   ..Elliott.. 03/21/2019

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2019/

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper trough/low will continue to move slowly eastward across the
   Southwest, Great Basin, and central Rockies today. A belt of strong
   mid-level west-southwesterly flow will remain over much of southern
   AZ/NM through the period. A separate upper trough will move across
   the eastern CONUS through the day, with enhanced mid-level westerly
   flow overspreading much of the Southeast. At the surface, a low will
   develop northeastward along/near the Mid-Atlantic Coast. A weak
   trailing cold front will move southeastward over parts of the
   Carolinas and GA through the period.

   ...Portions of Southern/Eastern GA and Northern FL...
   Westerly surface winds around 15 mph will likely occur in
   conjunction with lowered RH values of 25-35% across parts of
   southern/eastern GA and northern FL for a few hours this afternoon.
   Although fuel dryness appears marginal to support large fire starts,
   fine fuels are probably dry enough per latest guidance. Have
   therefore introduced an elevated delineation for parts of this
   region. The southern extent of the elevated area in northern FL has
   been constrained by recent precipitation.

   ...Portions of the Southwest...
   A small area of strong/gusty southerly surface winds will likely
   overlap RH values below 20% across parts of southeastern AZ and
   southwestern NM this afternoon. However, latest guidance continues
   to depict a general lack of fuel receptiveness across this region.
   So, an elevated area has not been included.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   CLICK FOR DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)
      
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Page last modified: March 21, 2019
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