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    Day 2 FW Outlook >
Mar 22, 2019 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Fri Mar 22 15:40:03 UTC 2019 (Print Version | 20190322 1700Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20190322 1700Z Day 1 FireWX KML)
Day 1 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 1 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   FNUS21 KWNS 221538

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1038 AM CDT Fri Mar 22 2019

   Valid 221700Z - 231200Z

   Much of the forecast remains on track. However, rainfall for the
   previous overnight period was not as abundant as previously forecast
   across portions of the southern High Plains. As such, fine fuels may
   be able to respond just enough to support an elevated fire threat
   associated with the 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds and
   15-20% RH expected behind the sharpening dryline during the late
   afternoon hours. An elevated delineation was added to portions of
   southern New Mexico into far west Texas to account for this

   ..Squitieri.. 03/22/2019

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Fri Mar 22 2019/

   Two upper-level shortwave troughs will merge over the
   Northeast/Mid-Atlantic today with dry northwesterly flow continuing
   across much of the Southeast. A separate upper-level shortwave
   trough will move over the Colorado Rockies, but is forecast to
   weaken, limiting the potential for fire weather conditions across
   the Southwest/southern High Plains today. However, a dryline is
   likely to develop/tighten today with lee troughing across the
   southern High Plains and a surface low expected in eastern Colorado.

   ...Portions of the Southeast...
   Dry, breezy northwesterly flow will continue over much of the
   Southeast today resulting in elevated conditions across portions of
   South Carolina, Georgia, and northeast Florida. Sustained
   west-northwest winds of 8-15 mph and RH values of 15-30% are
   expected across this area, and locally elevated conditions may
   extend into the Florida Panhandle. ERCs are above the 80th
   percentile within the elevated area, with some areas in southern
   Georgia/northern Florida above the 90th percentile.

   ...Portions of southern New Mexico and far West Texas...
   Elevated winds/RH are likely to develop this afternoon (westerly
   winds of 15-20 mph, RH values of 10-20%) across southern New Mexico
   and far West Texas, but there are mitigating circumstances that
   preclude an elevated area. The strongest winds/lowest RH are
   forecast to be over vegetation-sparse areas, and precipitation
   chances will likely linger from overnight into the afternoon across
   portions of southeast New Mexico/West Texas. Additionally, ERCs are
   mostly near normal and 10-hour fuel moisture values have increased

   ...Please see for graphic product...

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