Skip Navigation Links 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

    Day 2 FW Outlook >
Apr 1, 2020 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Wed Apr 1 06:35:02 UTC 2020 (Print Version | 20200401 1200Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20200401 1200Z Day 1 FireWX KML)
Day 1 Fire
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA Regions  Day 1 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   FNUS21 KWNS 010633

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0133 AM CDT Wed Apr 01 2020

   Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

   A mid-level trough will gradually amplify across the western CONUS,
   as another trough aloft ejects into the Atlantic, with some residual
   mid-level forcing/belt of 50 knot 500 mb flow traversing the Florida
   Peninsula during the afternoon. At the surface, a low will gradually
   develop and strengthen across the central and southern High Plains,
   promoting dry westerly downslope surface flow that will support some
   wildfire spread potential. Across the Florida Peninsula, a deep and
   dry post-frontal airmass will coincide with drying fuels that have
   experienced several days to a few weeks of lacking impactful
   rainfall, promoting conditions favorable for wildfire growth as

   ...Southern to Central High Plains...
   Widespread 15-20 mph sustained west-southwesterly winds and 15-20%
   RH will be common by the afternoon across much of central and
   eastern New Mexico into the western Texas Panhandle and southeast
   Colorado. These conditions, overlapping drying finer fuels, warrants
   the maintenance of an elevated delineation for this area. Locally
   critical conditions are expected to manifest by afternoon peak
   heating across eastern New Mexico into the northwest Texas Panhandle
   and extreme southeast Colorado, but the localized nature of such
   conditions precludes a critical area at this time.

   ...Florida Peninsula...
   A deep, dry boundary layer will promote low-level mixing, with RH
   dropping below 35% in several locales across central and southern
   parts of the Florida Peninsula. A short-term drought across the area
   has also cured fuels, that in tandem with winds varying in the 5-15
   mph range throughout the afternoon, will promote widespread,
   high-end elevated conditions. At least locally critical conditions
   are expected, particularly south of Lake Okeechobee by mid to late
   afternoon. The short term duration of stronger winds is the only
   factor precluding a critical area at this time, with forecast wind
   fields needing to be closely monitored in future outlooks.

   ..Squitieri.. 04/01/2020

   ...Please see for graphic product...

Related Fire Weather Web Links
Top/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
Page last modified: April 01, 2020
Information Quality
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities