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    Day 2 FW Outlook >
Jun 14, 2024 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Fri Jun 14 16:55:03 UTC 2024 (Print Version | 20240614 1700Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20240614 1700Z Day 1 FireWX KML)
Day 1 Fire
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Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   FNUS21 KWNS 141653

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1153 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

   Valid 141700Z - 151200Z

   The previous discussion is largely on track. With the mid-level
   trough near the Four Corners moving to the east, the risk for
   isolated dry thunderstorms has been shifted east accordingly.
   Additionally, some locally elevated conditions are possible along
   the lee of the northern California coastal ranges, with guidance
   depicting some potential for terrain-enhanced downslope flow with
   near-critical values of RH. However, fuels in the area are not
   particularly dry, so will decline to introduce highlights.

   ..Supinie.. 06/14/2024

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0153 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024/

   A midlevel trough and belt of south-southwesterly flow aloft will
   advance east-northeastward across the Southwest on Friday. A surface
   low south of south-central NM will promote modestly breezy westerly
   surface winds across southeastern AZ and southwestern NM. Given a
   deep/dry boundary layer across the area (single-digit RH), elevated
   to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. The
   primary limiting factor for the addition of a Critical area
   continues to be marginal surface winds (15-20 mph). Across northern
   Arizona on the fringe of better moisture located across the Four
   Corners into western New Mexico, isolated dry thunderstorms will be
   possible along the Mogollon Rim. 

   Enhanced westerly flow aloft will move into the base of a
   mid-level trough across the Northwest Friday afternoon. The
   associated downslope flow across the Cascades and Sierra will favor
   locally dry/breezy conditions across portions of northwestern NV and
   eastern WA/northeastern OR where fuels have dried sufficiently to
   support fire spread. As a result, elevated conditions are expected
   for both areas, with locally critical conditions possible in
   northwestern NV -- where 20-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds
   are expected.

   ...Please see for graphic product...

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