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    Day 2 FW Outlook >
Feb 7, 2025 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Fri Feb 7 16:43:03 UTC 2025 (Print Version | 20250207 1700Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20250207 1700Z Day 1 FireWX KML)
Day 1 Fire
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA  Tribal  Day 1 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 36,163 187,574 Carlsbad, NM...Hereford, TX...Las Vegas, NM...Artesia, NM...Ruidoso, NM...
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 071641

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1041 AM CST Fri Feb 07 2025

   Valid 071700Z - 081200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
   NEW MEXICO INTO THE WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...

   The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with adjustments
   made to the existing fire weather highlights to reflect the latest
   model guidance consensus.

   ..Squitieri.. 02/07/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1218 AM CST Fri Feb 07 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   West to southwesterly surface flow should quickly increase
   throughout the day Friday across NM, with sustained speeds exceeding
   25 mph for some locations. A lee surface trough is expected to
   deepen as a mid-level shortwave trough enters the Intermountain
   West, and strengthening orthogonal mid-level flow persists across
   the Rockies. The resulting surface pressure gradient, and a deeply
   mixed boundary layer (little to no cloud cover expected), will
   support these breezy conditions. In addition, unseasonably warm
   temperatures and single-digit relative humidity combined with the
   aforementioned winds should result in several hours of critical fire
   weather conditions.

   A low-level thermal ridge will likely extend from the Upper
   Trans-Pecos northeastward through the TX Panhandle by Friday
   afternoon. Just west of this ridge, from the far western TX
   Panhandle into portions of central and northeastern NM, is where the
   strongest winds and lowest RH are anticipated. Due to a lack of
   appreciable rainfall over several days, fuels across this region are
   becoming increasingly receptive to fire. This appears especially
   true within the higher terrain of NM and TX. As a result, the
   Critical area was extended southward to include the Sacramento
   Mountains.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   CLICK FOR DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)
      
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Page last modified: February 07, 2025
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