Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Created: Thu Feb 21 19:24:03 UTC 2019 ( | )
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 211922 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0122 PM CST Thu Feb 21 2019 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS BIG BEND REGION... Northern portions of the elevated area were trimmed, and the critical was expanded slightly northeast in West Texas. There is some uncertainty regarding the northern/eastern extent of the elevated area with varied model solutions for how far east the dryline will mix during the day, which will continued to be monitored moving forward. ..Nauslar.. 02/21/2019 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1101 PM CST Wed Feb 20 2019/ ...Synopsis... A strong shortwave trough and an associated strengthening surface cyclone will move from the four corners region into the southern High Plains on Friday. The combination of deep mixing and lee troughing will lead to strengthening surface winds by mid-afternoon. Winds are expected to be 20 to 25 mph across a broad area of the southern High Plains, however, the drier low-level airmass will be focused farther south. The RAP suggests relative humidities may be drier in eastern New Mexico which would result in critical conditions north of the current critical delineation. Other forecast guidance still suggests more moist low-levels farther north, therefore, the critical area remains in Texas for now, but this trend will need to be monitored. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
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