Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Created: Thu Feb 21 19:24:03 UTC 2019 (
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Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Created: Thu Feb 21 19:24:03 UTC 2019 (
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Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 211922
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0122 PM CST Thu Feb 21 2019
Valid 221200Z - 231200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS BIG BEND
REGION...
Northern portions of the elevated area were trimmed, and the
critical was expanded slightly northeast in West Texas. There is
some uncertainty regarding the northern/eastern extent of the
elevated area with varied model solutions for how far east the
dryline will mix during the day, which will continued to be
monitored moving forward.
..Nauslar.. 02/21/2019
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1101 PM CST Wed Feb 20 2019/
...Synopsis...
A strong shortwave trough and an associated strengthening surface
cyclone will move from the four corners region into the southern
High Plains on Friday. The combination of deep mixing and lee
troughing will lead to strengthening surface winds by mid-afternoon.
Winds are expected to be 20 to 25 mph across a broad area of the
southern High Plains, however, the drier low-level airmass will be
focused farther south. The RAP suggests relative humidities may be
drier in eastern New Mexico which would result in critical
conditions north of the current critical delineation. Other forecast
guidance still suggests more moist low-levels farther north,
therefore, the critical area remains in Texas for now, but this
trend will need to be monitored.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...