Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 181647

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1047 AM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

   Valid 181700Z - 191200Z

   No changes are needed to the ongoing forecast. Please see the
   previous discussion for further details.

   ..Wendt.. 01/18/2019

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1258 AM CST Fri Jan 18 2019/

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper trough is expected to amplify as it moves southeastward
   from the southern Rockies into the lower Mississippi Valley today
   into tonight. A surface low will move southeastward in conjunction
   with the upper trough, while an attendant cold front sweeps through
   the southern High Plains. 

   ...Far West TX into the Southern High Plains...
   In advance of the cold front, increasing low-level westerly flow
   will result in downslope warming/drying across portions of southeast
   NM and west TX. Sustained winds of 20-25 mph combined with minimum
   RH values near or below 25% will result in a period of elevated fire
   weather conditions this afternoon along and ahead of the cold front.
   While locally critical meteorological conditions are possible,
   generally marginal fuel conditions and limited potential for
   critical RH should preclude a more substantial threat.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 181819

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1219 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

   Valid 191200Z - 201200Z

   No changes for this update. Please see the previous discussion for
   further details.

   ..Wendt.. 01/18/2019

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1258 AM CST Fri Jan 18 2019/

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper trough and associated surface low are expected to progress
   eastward from the lower MS Valley toward the Atlantic coast on
   Saturday. A cold front will sweep into the Gulf of Mexico in the
   wake of the surface low, with relatively dry and breezy post-frontal
   conditions expected across portions of south TX. 

   ...Rio Grande Valley into Deep South TX...
   In the wake of the cold front, relatively strong northwest winds
   (sustained at 20-25 mph) are expected during the day on Saturday
   across portions of the Rio Grande Valley into Deep South TX. As RH
   values drop into the 20-30% range, elevated fire-weather conditions
   will be possible Saturday afternoon. The greatest threat for locally
   critical conditions appears to be across the lower Rio Grande
   Valley, where slightly warmer and drier conditions are possible
   compared to the rest of the region.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

      

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