MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0018
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1012 PM CST FRI JAN 03 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN ME/VT/NH/NRN MA
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 040412Z - 041015Z
SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2"/HOUR ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NH/VT...SRN ME
AND ERN NY THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS. RATES MAY EXCEED 2"/HOUR
LOCALLY.
LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LOW/VORTICITY MAXIMUM
MOVING NEWD TOWARD SERN NY...WHICH WILL INCREASE LARGE SCALE LIFT
ACROSS ERN NY. IN ADDITION...RECENT RADAR TRENDS INDICATE A
DEFORMATION BAND FORMING...CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM GFL TO JUST S
OF PWM. THIS BAND CORRESPONDS WELL WITH THE ETA MODEL 700MB
FRONTOGENESIS FIELD WHICH IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY NWD OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. DRY SLOT WILL CONTINUE MOVING NEWD ACROSS NRN
NJ/EXTREME SE NY AND CT THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WHICH
SHOULD KEEP PRECIPITATION RATES DOWN IN THIS AREA.
..TAYLOR.. 01/04/2003
42387162 42427329 41617475 42117559 43157564 44317394
44847111 44706870 44136908 43826985 43297055
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