MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0337
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0215 PM CST WED MAR 26 2003
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SCENTRAL/SERN VA SWD INTO CENTRAL/ERN NC
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 
   
   VALID 262015Z - 262315Z
   
   ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH CONVECTION
   DEVELOPING ALONG THE COLD FRONT FROM CENTRAL VA SWD INTO CENTRAL
   AND PORTIONS OF ERN NC THROUGH 27/00Z. MARGINAL NATURE AND
   LIMITED SEVERE THREAT WILL PRECLUDE A WEATHER WATCH. 
   
   19Z SFC MESOANALYSIS INDICATED TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN INTO THE
   UPPER 70S/LOWER 80S FROM CENTRAL/ERN NC NWD INTO SCENTRAL/SERN
   VA.  DEWPOINTS HAVE MIXED INTO THE UPPER 40S/LOWER 50S WITH
   LITTLE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION REMAINING. RECENT RUC/ETA POINT
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT INSTABILITY REMAINS MARGINAL
   HOWEVER... WITH BETWEEN 500-1000 MUCAPE. CONTINUED LOW LEVEL
   HEATING/STRONG ASCENT ALONG THE ADVANCING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
   SUPPORT INCREASING TRENDS IN CONVECTION THROUGH 26/22Z. 25 TO 35
   KT 1-3 KM WIND FIELDS NOTED ON REGIONAL VWP/S ALONG WITH
   INVERTED-V SUB-CLOUD PROFILES WILL ALLOW FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR
   ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS WITH THE STRONGEST CONVECTION. 
   
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/26/2003
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...GSP...
   
   35288068 36437972 37817783 37997719 37247642 35377786
   34717919