MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0384
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1038 PM CST FRI APR 04 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN PA/ERN AND SRN OH/WV/KY
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 90...
VALID 050438Z - 050615Z
SEGMENTED SQUALL LINE CURRENTLY ALONG A LINE FROM SWRN OH INTO
WRN KY WAS MOVING EWD AT UP TO 50KT. AT THIS SPEED THE LINE WILL
MOVE OUT OF WW 90 BY 0600 UTC. PRONOUNCED BOW ECHO WAS MOVING
RAPIDLY TOWARD SDF/LOU AREA AND OTHER STRONG PORTIONS ALONG THE
LINE WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.
WATER VAPOR LOOP INDICATES VERY STRONG MID/UPPER WAVE TRANSLATING
RAPIDLY EWD ACROSS THE MS VALLEY AND THIS LARGE SCALE FEATURE
SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUSTAIN STRONG ASCENT ALONG/AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT AS IT MOVES EWD UP THE OH VALLEY AND INTO ERN KY OVERNIGHT.
VERY STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ATOP MODEST WARM/MOIST AXIS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO MLCAPE VALUES OF 500-1000 J/KG AND FUEL VIGOROUS
TSTMS. THUS...EXPECT THE THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS TO CONTINUE
BEYOND 0600 UTC AND ANOTHER WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY FROM
SRN OH/NRN KY EWD TO PERHAPS WRN PA AND WV.
..CARBIN.. 04/05/2003
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...LMK...
39578442 40528204 40847994 40028018 37348283 36758421
36668686
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