MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0560
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1203 PM CDT THU APR 24 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR ERN KS AND WRN/SWRN/CENTRAL MO
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 241703Z - 241930Z
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/SWRN/WRN MO AND ERN KS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A
POSSIBLE TORNADO WATCH THIS AFTERNOON.
DESTABILIZATION SHOULD PROCEED RAPIDLY DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS
ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA AS MID-LEVEL DRY SLOT ADVECTS NEWD INTO
SWRN MO ATOP LOW-LEVEL MOIST AXIS WHICH EXTENDS FROM WRN AR NWD INTO
SWRN MO. MODERATE CU EVIDENT ON VISIBLE IMAGERY AT 1650Z BETWEEN JLN
AND SGF SHOULD INCREASE TO ISOLATED/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DURING
THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS AS CONVECTIVE INHIBITION DECREASES. ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE CLOSER TO THE UPPER LOW CENTER ACROSS FAR
ERN KS...BETWEEN EMP AND MKC. OPERATIONAL ETA AND ETA-KF SUGGEST
MODERATE INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON WITH MUCAPE VALUES OF 1000-2000
J/KG. SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH CURVATURE
SUGGEST A FEW SUPERCELL STORMS OVER THE AREA WITH LARGE HAIL AND
TORNADOES.
..BANACOS.. 04/24/2003
ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...
36589390 37319413 37549427 37819508 37849575 38309617
38599597 38809531 38849444 38939309 38009193 37099218
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