MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1097
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0924 AM CDT SAT MAY 24 2003
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...E-CENTRAL/SERN OK
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 
   
   VALID 241424Z - 241630Z
   
   LINE OF STRONG AND SEVERE TSTMS -- LOCATED FROM OSAGE COUNTY SWWD TO
   NRN LOGAN COUNTY AT 14Z...IS FCST TO CONTINUE MOVING SEWD 40-50 KT
   WITH PRIMARY THREAT BEING DAMAGING WIND...AND OCCASIONAL/MARGINALLY
   SEVERE HAIL POSSIBLE.  60-65 KT GUSTS OBSERVED AT MESONET SITE NOBLE
   COUNTY OK PAST HOUR.  WW 425 REQUIRED.
   
   MOST INTENSE PART OF THIS LINE SHOULD MOVE S TUL AND BETWEEN
   MKO-MLC...WHERE PRESSURE FALL MAX IS INDICATED ON ISALLOBARIC
   ANALYSIS.  ELEVATED MUCAPE 10000-1500 J/KG EVIDENT BASED ON MODIFIED
   RAOBS AND RUC FCST SOUNDINGS.  ALTHOUGH CONVECTION IS ELEVATED AND
   OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDS WELL AWAY FROM STRONGEST CORES ON SWRN
   END...RAPID MOTION OF CONVECTION SHOULD HELP TO MAINTAIN STRONG SR
   INFLOW ABOVE SFC.  EXPECT 500-1000 J/KG DCAPE TO ALLOW POTENTIALLY
   DAMAGING DOWNDRAFT PENETRATION TO SFC.
   
   ..EDWARDS.. 05/24/2003
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...OUN...
   
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