MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1393
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0505 AM CDT SUN JUN 15 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND S CENTRAL TX...
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 151005Z - 151200Z
SEVERE THREAT SHOULD PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS ACROSS PARTS
OF S CENTRAL TX. HOWEVER...NEW WW NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM DUE TO
LIMITED AREA / MARGINAL THREAT.
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND S TX IN MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS. HOWEVER...DEEP-LAYER WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION
REMAINS WEAK...SUGGESTING THAT THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN
LIMITED TO ISOLATED STRONGER STORMS.
THE GREATEST SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO EXIST INVOF THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY FROM ROUGHLY DRT TO LRD. INSTABILITY IS MAXIMIZED ACROSS
THIS AREA...AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM CONVECTION INVOF SAT IS MOVING
SWWD INTO THIS REGION. THIS SUGGESTS THAT CLUSTER OF CONVECTION
APPROACHING THE DRT AREA FROM THE NW MAY POSE A THREAT FOR HAIL UP
TO 1" IN DIAMETER AND POSSIBLE A FEW SEVERE WIND GUSTS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE BEING UNDERCUT BY OUTFLOW FROM THE SAT STORM
CLUSTER.
..GOSS.. 06/15/2003
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...
29630129 29960091 29980046 29529936 28859888 28289876
27859986 28860059
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