MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1708
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 PM CDT TUE JUL 08 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN IA/NRN IL
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 679...
VALID 081759Z - 081930Z
THREAT FOR SEVERE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS REMAINS ACROSS ERN IA INTO
NRN IL DURING THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS.
17Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE SURFACE FRONT EXTENDING FROM SRN IA
ENEWD TO NRN IL HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AS OUTFLOW FROM
CONVECTIVE COMPLEX NOW MOVING ACROSS SRN LOWER MI HAS REINFORCED THE
SURFACE BOUNDARY. AIR MASS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY OR
ACROSS SRN PORTION OF WW 679 HAS BECOME MODERATELY TO STRONGLY
UNSTABLE.
AN INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS EXISTS ACROSS EXTREME
SERN IA INTO NRN IL AS A DEVELOPING BOW ECHO OVER SERN IA /CURRENT
EWD MOVEMENT AT 38 KT/ TRACKS ENEWD ALONG THE SURFACE FRONT/
INSTABILITY AXIS.
REGIONAL RADARS ALSO SHOW A CLUSTERS OF STORMS OVER NWRN IL MOVING
EWD ALONG THE SURFACE BOUNDARY WITH THIS ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO MOVE
INTO LA SALLE COUNTY IL BY 20Z AND INTO GRUNDY...WILL AND KANKAKEE
COUNTIES IL BY 21Z. 30 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND MODERATE
INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT A HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT.
..PETERS.. 07/08/2003
ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN...ARX...DMX...
42649295 42538763 40478762 40689201 41429238
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