MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1187
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1010 AM CDT FRI JUN 11 2004
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN IA...SRN MN...AND FAR SWRN WI
CONCERNING...OUTLOOK UPGRADE
VALID 111510Z - 111645Z
AN UPGRADE TO A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS PLANNED ON
THE 1630Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK ACROSS NRN IA...SRN MN...AND SWRN WI.
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ACROSS N-CENTRAL IA NWD INTO SRN
MN DURING MID-LATE AFTERNOON...WITH SUFFICIENT CAPE/SHEAR FOR
SUPERCELLS. ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EWD INTO SWRN WI BY LATE
EVENING. POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES...PARTICULARLY IN VICINITY OF THE
WARM FRONT EXPECTED TO EXTEND NW-SE ACROSS S-CENTRAL MN LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...WARRANTS THE UPGRADE TO MODERATE RISK. ADDITIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS ARE FORTHCOMING IN THE CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK.
..BANACOS.. 06/11/2004
ATTN...WFO...MKX...DVN...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...
43339011 42529049 42559390 43309506 44739524 45429451
45189293 44549130
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