MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2200
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0104 PM CDT MON SEP 13 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TN SWD ACROSS NERN MS AND NRN AL
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 
   
   VALID 131804Z - 131930Z
   
   POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS AND/OR MARGINALLY SEVERE
   HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH DEVELOPING STORMS. A WW IS NOT
   ANTICIPATED.
   
   REGIONAL VISIBLE SATELLITE AND RADAR MOSAIC INDICATE INCREASING TSTM
   DEVELOPMENT FROM MIDDLE TN SWD INTO NERN MS AND NRN AL. HERE...
   TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED THROUGH THE 70S INTO LOWER 80S AND WHEN
   COUPLED WITH DEWPOINTS OF 65-70F AND MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES OF
   AROUND -10C IS RESULTING IN MLCAPES OF 1000-2000 J/KG.
   MOREOVER...CURRENT OKOLONA MS PROFILER IS SHOWING SELY FLOW THROUGH
   THE LOWEST 2-2.5 KM VEERING TO WLY OR NWLY IN THE 5-7 KM LAYER WITH 
   RESULTANT DEEP-LAYER SHEAR OF AROUND 25KTS. THUS...POTENTIAL FOR A
   FEW ORGANIZED STORMS CAPABLE OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL WILL
   EXIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. STORMS SHOULD TEND TO
   WEAKEN AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN COVERAGE THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS
   OF DAYTIME HEATING.
   
   ..MEAD.. 09/13/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...
   
   34638867 35818872 36438796 36438645 36078559 34908552
   33938581 33528681 33718828