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Mesoscale Discussion 1128
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1128
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1226 PM CDT WED JUN 13 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN NC/SC
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 131726Z - 131830Z
   
   WW IS POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF SRN NC AND SC THIS AFTERNOON.
   
   SURFACE HEATING WITHIN A MOIST AIR MASS ACROSS THE CAROLINAS HAS
   WEAKENED THE INHIBITION AS NOTED BY EXTENSIVE DEVELOPMENT OF CU/TCU
   FIELD OVER THIS REGION.  ADDITIONAL SURFACE HEATING WILL RESULT IN
   MODERATE INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT OVERALL WEAK DEEP LAYER
   SHEAR SUGGESTS STORMS SHOULD BE GENERALLY PULSE...ESPECIALLY INLAND
   FROM THE SEA BREEZE AND FARTHER N FROM THE MID/UPPER LEVEL
   CIRCULATION NOW LOCATED ALONG GA/FL BORDER.  DEEP LAYER SHEAR MAY BE
   LOCALLY ENHANCED AND SUPPORT GREATER POTENTIAL FOR STORM
   ORGANIZATION ACROSS ERN SC WHERE MID LEVEL WINDS MAY BE SLIGHTLY
   STRONGER ALONG NRN PERIPHERY OF THIS CIRCULATION CENTER.  OTHER THAN
   THE SEA BREEZE...SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED A LACK OF BOUNDARIES
   THAT WOULD FOCUS A CONCENTRATED AREA OF TSTMS.  
   
   STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED STRONG WIND
   GUSTS...WITH POTENTIAL FOR HAIL IN THE STRONGER CORES.  IN
   ADDITION...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RANGING FROM 1.3-1.5 INCHES
   SHOULD SUPPORT LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES AT OR ABOVE 1 INCH/
   HOUR.
   
   ..PETERS.. 06/13/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...
   
   31638196 32628199 33788211 34838203 35318103 35527948
   35537862 35007751 34217777 33647819 33557876 33077909
   32497988 31888060 31528088 31368151 
   
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