MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2097
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0236 PM CDT FRI AUG 15 2008
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...S-CNTRL CO/N-CNTRL NM AS WELL AS SERN CO AND NERN
   NM
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 151936Z - 152100Z
   
   STORMS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WITH LARGE
   HAIL LIKELY AS WELL AS A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. A WW MAY BE
   REQUIRED.
   
   COOLING ALOFT CONTINUES AS AN UPPER LOW DRIFTS SSWWD ACROSS WY/CO.
   SWLY FLOW OFF THE FOUR CORNERS AREA IS ADVECTING A WARM LOW LEVEL
   AIR MASS NEWD INTO CO/NM...BENEATH THE APPROACHING UPPER LOW. AT THE
   SURFACE...AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE HAS KEPT WINDS BACKED WITH
   RELATIVELY COOL AIR IN PLACE ACROSS THE PLAINS. THEREFORE...FOR THE
   NEXT 1-2 HOURS...THE MOST SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT WILL LIKELY BE
   LIMITED TO THE MOUNTAINS...WHERE STRONG HEATING CONTINUES AND THERE
   IS LITTLE CAPPING. BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS AND GRADUAL LOW LEVEL WARM
   ADVECTION WILL LEAD TO A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SUSTENANCE
   OF SEVERE HAIL STORMS MOVING OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN ONTO THE HIGH
   PLAINS. WNWLY DEEP LAYER SHEAR VECTORS ON THE ORDER OF 40 KTS
   SUGGESTS A THREAT OF SMALL BOWS AND/OR SUPERCELL OUTFLOW APPENDAGES
   WITH STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS...WHILE LOW LCL HEIGHTS AND WEAK
   LOW LEVEL VEERING OF WINDS SUGGEST THAT AN ISOLATED...BRIEF TORNADO
   CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 08/15/2008
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...
   
   35290503 34660588 34810706 35890647 36630617 37550598
   38320613 38850574 38340266 37520238 36840313 35590481