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Mesoscale Discussion 529
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0529
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0514 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...FAR EASTERN KS TO WESTERN/NORTHERN MO
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 
   
   VALID 122214Z - 122345Z
   
   SEVERE STORM RISK...INCLUDING LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS
   A FEW TORNADOES...IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THIS EVENING ACROSS FAR
   EASTERN KS INTO THE WESTERN/NORTHERN HALVES OF MO THIS EVENING. A
   WATCH APPEARS LIKELY WITHIN THE HOUR.
   
   PRIMARY VIGOROUS SEVERE TSTM DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES TO OCCUR EITHER
   SIDE OF I-35/135 IN SOUTH CENTRAL KS IN VICINITY OF DRYLINE.
   HOWEVER...LEADING SCATTERED STORMS HAVE SHOWN SOME SIGNS OF
   INTENSIFICATION SOUTHWEST OF THE KC METRO AREA...WITH ADDITIONAL
   CUMULIFORM DEVELOPMENT NOTED AMIDST OTHER CLOUD BREAKS ALONG A SLOW
   NORTH-RETREATING FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT ROUGHLY PARALLELS I-70 ACROSS
   MO. WHILE THE SPECIFIC EVOLUTION IS STILL A BIT UNCLEAR...SEVERE
   POTENTIAL IS FORECAST TO INCREASE THROUGH THE EARLY/MID EVENING
   HOURS AS UPSTREAM ACTIVITY APPROACHES AND/OR AN UPSWING IN VIGOROUS
   DEVELOPMENT OCCURS AHEAD OF THE EAST-NORTHEAST ADVANCING EASTERN KS
   SURFACE LOW/NEAR THE SLOWLY NORTHWARD RETREATING EFFECTIVE WARM
   FRONT ACROSS MO. STRONG BUT LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES
   /WITH SOME BACKING AT MID LEVELS/ SHOULD FAVOR A MID MODE OF
   QUASI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS AND BOWS CAPABLE OF SEVERE HAIL/DAMAGING
   WIND AND PERHAPS A FEW TORNADOES.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/12/2010
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...
   
   LAT...LON   40169483 40409296 39309174 38259223 37639383 37629513
               38239548 40169483 
   
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