MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0004
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0904 AM CST SAT JAN 01 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SERN MS THROUGH SRN AL AND THE WRN FL
   PANHANDLE
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 2...
   
   VALID 011504Z - 011600Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 2 CONTINUES.
   
   TORNADO WATCH 2 WILL LIKELY BE REPLACED BY ANOTHER TORNADO WATCH
   PRIOR TO 16Z THAT WILL INCLUDE THE BOOTHEEL OF MS...SRN AL INTO THE
   WRN FL PANHANDLE.
   
   SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON WITHIN
   PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR AND ZONE OF ASCENT ALONG WARM CONVEYOR BELT.
   GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE BASED STORMS EXISTS ALONG SRN PORTION
   OF GULF COAST STATES FROM SERN MS INTO SRN AL AND THE WRN FL
   PANHANDLE WHERE INFLUX OF MOISTURE HAS BEEN MAXIMIZED ALONG THE SWLY
   LLJ AXIS. INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN MARGINAL WITH LIMITED WARMING OF
   THE BOUNDARY LAYER...BUT GIVEN LARGE HODOGRAPHS AND NEAR SURFACE
   BASED NATURE OF THE CONVECTION...SOME THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS AND
   ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON. THREAT IS MORE
   LIMITED FARTHER EAST TOWARD SRN GA AND NRN FL DUE TO SELY LOW LEVEL
   TRAJECTORIES WHICH SHOULD MAINTAIN A MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER.
   
   ..DIAL.. 01/01/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...LIX...
   
   LAT...LON   31098901 32478704 31758574 30718611 30328770 30108962
               31098901