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Mesoscale Discussion 1181
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MD 1181 graphic
   
   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1181
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1244 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN CO...NERN NM...TX/OK PANHANDLES...SWRN KS
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 
   
   VALID 111744Z - 111915Z
   
   STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND AHEAD OF
   A MIDLEVEL IMPULSE MOVING OUT OF NM THIS AFTERNOON.  CONVECTIVE
   TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.
   
   CUMULUS CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO DEEPEN OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF SCNTRL
   CO/NCNTRL NM AS STRONG SURFACE HEATING IS DESTABILIZING THE
   ATMOSPHERE.  ADDITIONALLY...MIDLEVEL CONVECTION/CLOUDINESS IS
   EVIDENT SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE TX/OK PANHANDLES.  THOUGH THE
   PLAINS ARE STILL CAPPED...CONTINUED INSOLATION AND INCREASING
   LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE /IN SELY SURFACE FLOW/ WILL WEAKEN THE CINH
   RESULTING IN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY
   MLCAPE VALUES OVER 1000 J/KG.  RECENT AREA PROFILER DATA SUGGEST 0-6
   KM SHEAR AROUND 30 KTS...WHICH MAY INCREASE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
   AFOREMENTIONED MIDLEVEL IMPULSE.  THEREFORE...SUPERCELL STRUCTURES
   WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
   WINDS...THOUGH A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
   
   ..JIRAK.. 06/11/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...LUB...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...
   
   LAT...LON   36640437 37130458 37720469 38150471 38660404 38800349
               38680252 38300145 37990116 37580074 36960045 36360001
               35929978 35499971 35119975 34839985 34520017 34330098
               34420164 34730225 35570342 36000394 36450427 36640437 
   
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