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Mesoscale Discussion 1258 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1258
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1110 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHWEST/CENTRAL NEB AND CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 488...
VALID 170410Z - 170515Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 488
CONTINUES.
SEVERE TSTM WATCH 488 CONTINUES UNTIL 07Z. DAMAGING WIND/SEVERE HAIL
POTENTIAL CONTINUES ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL NEB...AS WELL AS FAR
SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST KS AND PERHAPS IMMEDIATELY ADJACENT
NORTHEAST OK.
SEVERE WIND/SOME HAIL POTENTIAL CONTINUES ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL
NEB LATE THIS EVENING/EARLY IN THE OVERNIGHT. THE MOST
ORGANIZED/SUSTAINED BOWING PORTION OF AN ONGOING QUASI-LINEAR MCS
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO PREFERENTIALLY FAVOR THE AREA RELATIVELY
NEAR A NORTHWARD RETREATING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM DAWSON/CUSTER
COUNTIES NORTHEASTWARD INTO BUFFALO/SHERMAN/VALLEY COUNTIES OVER THE
NEXT HOUR...WITH STRONG/POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ALSO
POSSIBLE WITH THE SOUTHWARD ARCING OUTFLOW AS WELL. A 51 KT WIND
GUST WAS RECENTLY MEASURED IN LEXINGTON NEB.
FARTHER SOUTH...WHILE CONVECTIVE TRENDS HAVE BEEN WANING TO A DEGREE
PER IR SATELLITE/VOLUMETRIC RADAR IMAGERY...A SEVERE WIND/HAIL
THREAT WILL NONETHELESS CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO INTO
SOUTHEAST KS/PERHAPS EVENTUALLY IMMEDIATELY ADJACENT NORTHEAST OK.
THE NEED FOR AN ADDITIONAL WATCH IS UNCLEAR...BUT CONVECTIVE TRENDS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
..GUYER.. 06/17/2011
ATTN...WFO...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...LBF...GLD...
LAT...LON 41120071 41929975 41479834 39809738 39009746 38349721
37979649 37509620 36959631 36739686 36869776 37349797
37869797 39359885 40020022 41120071
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