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Mesoscale Discussion 1318 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1318
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1222 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST KS AND SOUTHWEST/CENTRAL NEB
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 522...
VALID 201722Z - 201845Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 522
CONTINUES.
SCATTERED ELEVATED STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE AN
ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL/SOME WIND THREAT IN THE SHORT TERM ACROSS
NORTHWEST KS INTO SOUTHWEST NEB. MORE OF A SURFACE BASED THREAT IS
EXPECTED TO EVOLVE THROUGH EARLY/MID AFTERNOON ACROSS
SOUTHWEST/CENTRAL NEB...AND A REPLACEMENT/NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL
LIKELY BE REQUIRED EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
AFOREMENTIONED SCATTERED TSTMS ARE FOCUSED NEAR/IMMEDIATELY WEST OF
A NORTH-SOUTH INVERTED TROUGH/FRONT THAT EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHWEST KS
INTO CENTRAL NEB. WITHIN A STEEP LAPSE RATE/HIGHLY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT TO THE NNE OF THE SOUTH-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS UPPER
LOW...AT LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL THREAT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. WITH TIME...THROUGH EARLY/MID AFTERNOON...THESE
STORMS /ESPECIALLY NEAR THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE BOUNDARY/ OR MORE
SO ADDITIONAL SURFACE BASED DEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED
TO OCCUR...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES BECOMING MORE OF A
CONCERN INTO CENTRAL NEB.
..GUYER.. 06/20/2011
ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...
LAT...LON 38530115 39420132 40320083 40940053 41869911 41659756
40499769 39439909 38520009 38530115
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