MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0527
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0144 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/WRN KS
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 165...
   
   VALID 141844Z - 141945Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 165 CONTINUES.
   
   THE THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANTLY TORNADIC SUPERCELLS IS INCREASING OVER
   PARTS OF SWRN KS INCLUDING THE DODGE CITY AREA. INFLOW INTO DISCRETE
   SUPERCELLS EVOLVING OVER MEADE AND GRAY/FORD COUNTIES IS LIKELY
   BECOMING SURFACE BASED PER MODIFIED RUC/OBSERVED SOUNDINGS. SBCAPE
   VALUES OF 2000-3000 J/KG AMIDST STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
   RAPID INTENSIFICATION WITH THESE STORMS. STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR --
   0-1 KM SRH OF 297 M2/S2 PER HAVILAND KS PROFILER THAT ALSO INDICATES
   A LARGE AMOUNT OF STREAMWISE VORTICITY CONCENTRATED IN THE LOWEST
   0.5 KM AGL -- COULD SUPPORT SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES. ADDITIONAL
   CLUSTERS OF STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS FARTHER NORTH ACROSS THE WW
   AREA WILL POSE MAINLY A LARGE/VERY LARGE HAIL THREAT AND PERHAPS A
   COUPLE OF TORNADOES BEFORE A MORE FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC
   ENVIRONMENT FOR SFC-BASED SUPERCELLS ARRIVES WITHIN A FEW HOURS.
   
   ..COHEN.. 04/14/2012
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...
   
   LAT...LON   39769757 38909763 38019832 37219905 37100046 38360029
               39739966 39959850 39769757