MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0540
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1037 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 170...
   
   VALID 150337Z - 150500Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 170 CONTINUES.
   
   GIVEN INCREASING INHIBITION FOR WARM SECTOR BOUNDARY LAYER PARCELS
   ...THE PERSISTENCE OF THE PAIR OF LONG-LIVED TORNADO PRODUCING
   SUPERCELLS BEYOND ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO IS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN. 
   HOWEVER...THE CELL NOW APPROACHING AREAS SOUTH OF SALINA APPEARS TO
   BE AIDED BY AN AREA OF STRONGER MID-LEVEL FORCING FOR UPWARD
   VERTICAL MOTION...DOWNSTREAM OF THE UPPER TROUGH NOW BEGINNING TO
   LIFT ACROSS THE ROCKIES.  THIS IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT NORTHEASTWARD
   ACROSS THE I-70 CORRIDOR AREA JUST EAST OF MANHATTAN THROUGH 05-06Z.
    LATEST RUC GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THIS WILL COINCIDE WITH A 70 KT
   SOUTHERLY 850 MB JET CORE...WHICH PROBABLY WILL MAINTAIN A HIGH
   TORNADO RISK.  OTHERWISE...AS LONG AS THE SUPERCELL NOW NEAR WICHITA
   MAINTAINS STRENGTH AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE I-35
   CORRIDOR...TOWARD THE EMPORIA AREA...THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD
   REMAIN HIGH.
   
   ..KERR.. 04/15/2012
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...ICT...
   
   LAT...LON   39009810 39419738 39789652 39699558 39119508 38539509
               38049582 37579681 37519753 37909825 39009810