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Mesoscale Discussion 692 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0692
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0148 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN-SOUTH CENTRAL IA/FAR NWRN-NORTH CENTRAL MO
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 175...
VALID 190648Z - 190815Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 175
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE AS A BOWING LINE
OF STORMS ADVANCES ENEWD AT 40-45 KT INTO SOUTH CENTRAL IA AND NORTH
CENTRAL MO. FARTHER N...THE OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS
TO BE WEAKENING AS THE NRN EXTENT OF THIS CONVECTION IS MOVING
SLOWER THAN THE SRN PORTION.
DISCUSSION...AT 0630Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED A BOWING LINE
OF STORMS EXTENDING FROM SWRN IA SSEWD INTO FAR NRN MO AT 25 SW
KLWD...AND THEN TRAILING SWWD INTO THE KANSAS CITY METRO AREA AND
ADJACENT PART OF NERN KS. THE ACTIVITY LOCATED IN DAVIESS TO WRN
HARRISON COUNTIES MO AND RINGGOLD COUNTY IA HAS THE FASTEST ENEWD
MOVEMENT AND COMBINED WITH 45 KT SSWLY LLJ EXTENDING INTO THIS AREA
SUGGESTS LOCALLY STRONG WINDS REMAIN POSSIBLE. SOUTH OF THESE
COUNTIES...THE GUST FRONT HAS BECOME MORE DISPLACED FROM THE TSTMS
SUGGESTING THE THREAT FOR STRONGER WIND GUSTS WILL TEND TO DIMINISH.
ALTHOUGH LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE IN THE SHORT
TERM /07-08Z/...THE STRENGTH OF SURFACE BASED INHIBITION WITH EWD
EXTENT SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD REMAIN
LOCALIZED AND PRECLUDES THE NEED FOR A NEW WATCH.
..PETERS/HART.. 05/19/2013
ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...
LAT...LON 39979364 39749428 40259480 40669511 41369580 42399598
43129659 43499633 42889517 41649472 40649358 39979364
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