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Mesoscale Discussion 1083 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1083
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0611 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NEB INTO EXTREME WRN IA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 313...
VALID 142311Z - 150045Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 313 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND PERSIST ACROSS ERN NEB INTO EXTREME WRN IA. GREATEST SEVERE
THREAT INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL LIKELY EXIST
OVER ECNTRL NEB THROUGH 01Z.
DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF STORMS THAT DEVELOPED OVER SCNTRL NEB ARE
FORWARD PROPAGATING ALONG THE NERN EXTENSION OF THE ATTENDANT
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. THESE STORMS HAVE PREVIOUSLY BEEN HIGH BASED...BUT
ARE NOW MOVING INTO AN ENVIRONMENT ACROSS ERN NEB WHERE DEWPOINTS
NEAR 70 ARE SUPPORTING STRONG INSTABILITY /2000-3000 J/KG MLCAPE/
AND LOWER LCLS. SFC ANALYSIS AND RADAR DATA INDICATE PRESENCE OF A
NNW-SSE ORIENTED FRONT/BOUNDARY ACROSS ERN NEB...AND VWP DATA SHOW
SUFFICIENTLY LARGE HODOGRAPHS IN THE 0-2 KM LAYER WITH 200 M2/S2
STORM RELATIVE HELICITY. STORMS WILL DEVELOP INTO AN INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SUPERCELLS AND LOW LEVEL MESOSCYCLONES
ACROSS ERN NEB NEXT COUPLE HOURS WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR
ISOLATED TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL...ESPECIALLY IF STORMS CAN
MAINTAIN DISCRETE OR SEMI-DISCRETE STRUCTURES.
..DIAL.. 06/14/2013
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...
LAT...LON 40149715 41019787 42469812 42749741 42179616 41089556
40149599 40149715
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