ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 011935 
SPC MCD 011935 
PAZ000-NYZ000-OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-020130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0050
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0135 PM CST SUN FEB 01 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...LOWER MI...NRN IND...NRN OH...NWRN PA

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 

VALID 011935Z - 020130Z

SUMMARY...SNOW RATES OF 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL SPREAD ACROSS SRN LOWER
MI/NRN INDIANA TOWARD THE LAKE SHORE OF NWRN PA BY LATE AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...SFC LOW IS PROGRESSING EAST ACROSS CNTRL IL WITH
POSITION JUST SOUTH OF BMI AT 19Z.  A WELL-DEVELOPED EAST-WEST SNOW
BAND...ROUGHLY 150 MI WIDE...EXTENDS NORTH OF THE LOW TOWARD THE WRN
PART OF LAKE ERIE.  SNOW RATES ALONG THIS CORRIDOR SHOULD EASILY
APPROACH 1 INCH PER HOUR AS WARM ADVECTION/ASCENT BEGIN TO SPREAD
TOWARD THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.  ADDITIONALLY...COOLER PROFILES ACROSS
LOWER MI COULD RESULT IN LOCALLY HIGHER SNOW RATES...PER SFC
TEMPERATURES HOVERING IN THE LOWER 20S.  LATEST SHORT-RANGE MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT SFC LOW SHOULD TRACK TO JUST NORTH
OF IND BY 02/00Z...THEN INTO NERN OH NEAR CAK BY 02/06Z.  HEAVIEST
SNOW SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THIS PROJECTED TRACK WITH SUBSEQUENT
HEAVIER RATES SPREADING INTO WRN NY LATER THIS EVENING.

..DARROW.. 02/01/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...DTX...IWX...GRR...

LAT...LON   42588597 42818205 42107942 41188050 40878575 42588597 

NNNN