ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 260223 
SPC MCD 260223 
TNZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-260400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0146
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0923 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MO...NERN AR...EXTREME SRN IL...WRN KY AND
NWRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 7...

VALID 260223Z - 260400Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 7 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL WILL PERSIST
MAINLY FROM SERN MO THROUGH SRN IL...NERN AR AND A SMALL PART OF WRN
KY THROUGH 04Z. ACTIVITY WILL EVENTUALLY DEVELOP FARTHER SOUTH INTO
WRN KY AND NWRN TN AFTER 04Z.

DISCUSSION...AT 02Z A COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM WRN KY...SERN
MO...NCNTRL AND NWRN AR MOVING SLOWLY SWD. THE ATMOSPHERE SOUTH OF
THIS BOUNDARY REMAINS MARGINALLY UNSTABLE...AND CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION HAS INCREASED. GIVEN THE HOSTILE THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT IN THE WARM SECTOR...STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL LIKELY
REMAIN CONFINED TO ALONG AND NORTH OF THE COLD FRONT. DESPITE THE
ELEVATED NATURE OF THE CONVECTION...RADAR CONTINUES TO SHOW
ORGANIZED STRUCTURES. A BOWING SEGMENT WAS INDICATED OVER SERN MO
AND UPDRAFT ROTATION WAS EVIDENT WITH CELLS OVER NRN AR AND SRN IL
WHERE EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR REMAINS IN EXCESS OF 40 KT IN VICINITY OF
THE FRONT.

..DIAL.. 03/26/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...LSX...

LAT...LON   37079087 37678955 37798813 37098797 36338809 36178912
            36009065 36479105 37079087 

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