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Mesoscale Discussion 261 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0261
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0626 PM CDT THU APR 09 2015
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WRN/CNTRL PA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 45...
VALID 092326Z - 100030Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 45
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A BOW ECHO WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EAST ACROSS WRN/CNTRL
PA. HOWEVER...WHILE THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUST
CANNOT BE ELIMINATED...THE WIND THREAT SHOULD RAPIDLY DIMINISH TO
THE EAST.
DISCUSSION...AS OF 23Z...REGIONAL WSR-88D MOSAIC SHOWED A BOWING
LINE...WITH AN EMBEDDED MESOVORTEX...QUICKLY PUSHING EWD ACROSS
WRN/CNTRL PA. WHILE A GUST TO 48 KT WAS REPORTED EARLIER AT
KAGC...THE LINE IS RAPIDLY PROGRESSING INTO AN ENVIRONMENT WITH A
STABLE SFC LAYER...WITH TEMPS IN THE 40S. THEREFORE...THE THREAT FOR
STRONG SFC WIND GUSTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH STEADILY OVER THE
NEXT HOUR OR TWO AND DOWNSTREAM WW IS NOT NECESSARY.
..PICCA.. 04/09/2015
ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...
LAT...LON 39797908 40087900 40427855 40767844 40977862 41137901
41237914 41367912 41387832 40897770 40317772 39947789
39707833 39797908
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