ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 180124 
SPC MCD 180124 
KSZ000-NEZ000-180330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0347
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0824 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF N-CNTRL KS AND FAR SRN NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 180124Z - 180330Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG TSTMS MAY SPREAD INTO THE REGION THIS EVENING
FROM THE W AND S...THOUGH WW ISSUANCE IS UNLIKELY.

DISCUSSION...THE REMNANTS OF DIURNALLY ENHANCED CONVECTION ACROSS
PARTS OF WRN/CNTRL KS WILL CONTINUE SPREADING INTO THE AREA.
NOCTURNAL COOLING IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER...COUPLED WITH MINIMAL
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT...SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO AN OVERALL WEAKENING TREND
OF THIS ACTIVITY AS IT SPREADS OUTSIDE OF TORNADO WATCH 69.
HOWEVER...WITH DDC AND TOP 00Z RAOBS SAMPLING H7-H5 LAPSE RATES
AROUND 6.5-7.0 C/KM AND MODERATE DEEP SHEAR...ISOLATED MARGINALLY
SVR HAIL CANNOT BE RULED OUT INTO MID/LATE EVENING.

..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 04/18/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...GLD...

LAT...LON   39199896 39949990 40269996 40099841 38719793 38459850
            39199896 

NNNN