ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 250021 
SPC MCD 250021 
KSZ000-250115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0441
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0721 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN/CNTRL KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 102...

VALID 250021Z - 250115Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 102 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL...DMGG WIND GUSTS...AND PERHAPS AN
ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE GREATEST OVER N-CNTRL KS THROUGH 02Z. SVR
THREAT OVER WRN PORTIONS OF TORNADO WATCH 102 SHOULD CONTINUE TO
DECREASE WITH CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING AND THE LOSS OF HEATING.

DISCUSSION...WIDESPREAD CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS CNTRL/WRN
KS...FEATURING A PERSISTENT SUPERCELL PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DMGG
WIND GUSTS THAT REMAINS ANCHORED ALONG A WARM FRONT BETWEEN RUSSELL
AND SALINA. SFC ANALYSIS FROM 00Z INDICATES MOIST AXIS IS ORIENTED
NEAR/E OF I-35...WITH A SFC LOW POSITIONED APPROXIMATELY 20 SW
RSL...WHERE THE ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN MOST FAVORABLE FOR LARGE
HAIL AND DMGG WIND GUSTS. THE RISK OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO MAY
PERSIST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE HRS ALONG THE WARM FRONT AS WELL...BUT
AN INCREASINGLY MESSY STORM MODE OWING TO NUMEROUS STORM
INTERACTIONS MAY LIMIT THIS THREAT.

..ROGERS.. 04/25/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   38259969 38300117 38790134 39220066 39959970 39919817
            39539719 38689675 37339715 37079777 37169860 37879930
            38259969 

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