ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 250534 
SPC MCD 250534 
KSZ000-OKZ000-250630-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0755
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1234 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...SW KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 206...208...

VALID 250534Z - 250630Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 206...208...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...WITH WW/S 206/208 EXPIRING AT 06Z...SEVERE RISK MAY
PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST 07Z ACROSS A SMALL PART OF SW KS WITH A
LOCAL WW EXTENSION POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL CLUSTER MAY ALREADY BE IN THE PROCESS OF
WEAKENING NEAR THE DDC AREA AS INITIAL SUPERCELL RESPONSIBLE FOR
SEVERAL TORNADO REPORTS BECAME ABSORBED WITH AN UPSTREAM CLUSTER.
THE INTENSITY OF THE LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONE HAS WEAKENED DURING THIS
MERGING PROCESS...BUT TRANSIENT STORM-SCALE INTENSIFICATION COULD
STILL RESULT IN BRIEF TORNADOES/DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH AT LEAST 07Z.
OVERALL...THIS CLUSTER SHOULD STRUGGLE TO INTENSIFY GREATLY AMIDST
SLOWLY INCREASING MLCIN AND MODEST LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WITH 0-1 KM
VALUES AROUND 15 KT SAMPLED EARLIER IN DDC VWP DATA. AS THE LLJ
GRADUALLY VEERS ACROSS THE ERN PANHANDLES/WRN OK THIS
MORNING...INTENSITY SHOULD WANE AS SUPPORTED BY AN ARRAY OF EVENING
CAM GUIDANCE.

..GRAMS.. 05/25/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA...

LAT...LON   37410067 37880015 38159961 38159929 37989904 37469916
            37209937 36959974 36940022 37260065 37410067 

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