ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 262022 
SPC MCD 262022 
OKZ000-KSZ000-262115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0786
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0322 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL AND NERN OK...FAR SERN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 262022Z - 262115Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A THREAT FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS
WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON FROM N-CNTRL/NERN OK INTO SERN KS OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE HOURS. A WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS N-CNTRL OK AHEAD
OF A WEAK UPPER IMPULSE MOVING INTO WRN OK...WITH THE STRONGEST
STORM /AS OF 2015Z/ ENTERING LINCOLN/PAYNE COUNTIES OK WITH A
HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. VISIBLE SATELLITE/RADAR TRENDS
SUGGEST THIS ACTIVITY MAY BE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED...BUT 30 KTS OF
CLOUD-LAYER SHEAR COMBINED WITH STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES /7.5 C
PER KM/ WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND
STRONG WIND GUSTS. A WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED AS CINH MAY
PRECLUDE SFC-BASED TSTM DEVELOPMENT AND COVERAGE SHOULD REMAIN
ISOLATED.

..ROGERS/MEAD.. 05/26/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON   37269717 37329667 37229500 36619477 36049474 35549601
            35499700 35829745 36789744 37269717 

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