ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 162006 
SPC MCD 162006 
LAZ000-TXZ000-162200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1034
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0306 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...SE TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 302...

VALID 162006Z - 162200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 302 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR ISOLATED...GENERALLY BRIEF...TORNADOES
CONTINUES...AND MAY INCREASE THROUGH 21-00Z.

DISCUSSION...AFTER MIGRATING WESTWARD INTO MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL
AREAS TO THE NORTH OF THE CORPUS CHRISTI...THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF
BILL HAS TAKEN A NORTHWESTWARD TURN.  AS IT CONTINUES SLOWLY INLAND
LATE THIS AFTERNOON...SOUTHEASTERLY 850-700 MB FLOW IS FORECAST TO
STRENGTHEN TO 30-40 KT ACROSS UPPER TEXAS COASTAL AREAS THROUGH A
GROWING AREA OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.  ENLARGING LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS IN
THE PEAK LATE AFTERNOON TROPICAL BOUNDARY LAYER INSTABILITY PROBABLY
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AT LEAST SOME INCREASE IN THE RISK FOR
TORNADOES...BOTH WITHIN OUTER CONVECTIVE BANDS PIVOTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AND NORTH OF THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION...AND WITHIN
DISCRETE CELLS FORMING BETWEEN BANDS.

..KERR.. 06/16/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...

LAT...LON   29039724 30529818 31209793 32409602 31609319 30229332
            28719582 29039724 

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