ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 021718 
SPC MCD 021718 
SCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-021915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1279
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1218 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN GA...NERN AL...WRN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 021718Z - 021915Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A W/E-ORIENTED BAND OF TSTMS OVER NERN AL INTO NRN GA MAY
FURTHER INTENSIFY WITH A DAMAGING WIND RISK THAT COULD NECESSITATE A
WW ISSUANCE PRIOR TO 19Z.

DISCUSSION...WRN PORTION OF A W/E-ORIENTED TSTM BAND HAS RECENTLY
INTENSIFIED WITH A SWATH OF 40+ KT OUTBOUND VELOCITIES PER HTX RADAR
IN DADE/WALKER COUNTY GA. MODERATE DOWNSTREAM HEATING OF AN AIR MASS
CHARACTERIZED BY 1.50-1.75 INCH PW VALUES SHOULD YIELD ADDITIONAL
TSTM DEVELOPMENT TO THE E/SE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IS MODEST GIVEN WINDS WEAKENING WITH HEIGHT FROM
THE MID TO UPPER-LEVELS...AROUND 40-KT 2-5 KM AGL WLYS MAY CONTINUE
TO SUPPORT EMBEDDED STRONG SURFACE WINDS WITHIN LOOSELY-ORGANIZED
MULTICELL CLUSTERS...PRODUCING MAINLY TREE DAMAGE.

..GRAMS/HART.. 07/02/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON   34918600 34888428 34998312 35068238 35038174 34818140
            34498135 33868162 33588211 33478278 33468417 33658511
            33988609 34608624 34918600 

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