ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 110318 
SPC MCD 110318 
MOZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-110445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1798
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1018 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/ERN KS...WEST-CENTRAL/SWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 510...

VALID 110318Z - 110445Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 510
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR PRIMARILY DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUES WITH
BOWING STORM SEGMENTS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL IS
ALSO POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...A PRONOUNCED BOWING SEGMENT PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS
WAS LOCATED OVER EAST-CENTRAL KANSAS AT 0315Z...WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS OVER MIAMI COUNTY. THE TRAILING PORTION OF THE LINE OF STORMS
EXTENDING SOUTHWEST TO THE WICHITA AREA CONTAINS A FEW INTENSE
UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SEVERE HAIL. A SECOND SMALLER BOWING
COMPLEX OF STORMS WAS LOCATED WEST/NORTHWEST OF WICHITA. 

LATEST MESOANALYSIS SHOWS A CORRIDOR OF WEAK-MODERATELY-BUOYANT AIR
FROM SOUTH-CENTRAL KS EAST INTO SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...ALONG WITH
35-40 KTS OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR. DESPITE AN INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION WITH THE ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING...LIFT ALONG THE GUST
FRONT SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO REALIZE AVAILABLE INSTABILITY AND
RESULT IN A CONTINUED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINALLY
SEVERE HAIL FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.

..BUNTING.. 09/11/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON   38909514 38959426 38619408 37089407 36999521 36989755
            37039818 37589839 38229725 38479547 38909514 

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