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Mesoscale Discussion 902 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0902
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0617 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2016
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SWRN KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY
VALID 132317Z - 140045Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT
SUMMARY...THE SVR RISK IS INCREASING E OF WW 250...LIKELY
NECESSITATING THE ISSUANCE OF A SVR TSTM WATCH DOWNSTREAM.
DISCUSSION...A FORWARD-PROPAGATING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER WILL CONTINUE
SPREADING EWD/SEWD INTO/ACROSS PARTS OF SWRN KS. WITH MOIST/UNSTABLE
INFLOW CHARACTERIZED BY 1000-2500 J/KG OF MLCAPE AMIDST 35-50 KT OF
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR...SVR WIND/HAIL WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THIS
ACTIVITY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.
..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 06/13/2016
ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...
LAT...LON 37230121 38410129 38540024 37529960 37160015 37230121
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