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Mesoscale Discussion 902
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0902
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0617 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SWRN KS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY 

   VALID 132317Z - 140045Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...THE SVR RISK IS INCREASING E OF WW 250...LIKELY
   NECESSITATING THE ISSUANCE OF A SVR TSTM WATCH DOWNSTREAM.

   DISCUSSION...A FORWARD-PROPAGATING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER WILL CONTINUE
   SPREADING EWD/SEWD INTO/ACROSS PARTS OF SWRN KS. WITH MOIST/UNSTABLE
   INFLOW CHARACTERIZED BY 1000-2500 J/KG OF MLCAPE AMIDST 35-50 KT OF
   EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR...SVR WIND/HAIL WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THIS
   ACTIVITY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

   ..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 06/13/2016


   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   37230121 38410129 38540024 37529960 37160015 37230121 

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