MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1156
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1015 PM CDT TUE JUL 05 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL NEB...W-CNTRL/CNTRL IA

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 329...

   VALID 060315Z - 060445Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 329
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...TSTM COMPLEX ACROSS E-CNTRL NEB WILL CONTINUE TO POSE AN
   ISOLATED WIND/HAIL THREAT AS IT MOVES NEWD. OTHER TSTMS MAY FILL IN
   ACROSS CNTRL IA AND TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED HERE FOR A POTENTIAL
   WW.

   DISCUSSION...RECENT RADAR IMAGERY HAS SHOWN THE TSTM COMPLEX MOVING
   ACROSS E-CNTRL NEB HAS BECOMING INCREASINGLY OUTFLOW DOMINANT AND
   THAT THE OVERALL STORM STRENGTH HAS DIMINISHED SLIGHTLY.
   HOWEVER...TQE -- ALONG THE NEB/IA BORDER -- RECENT REPORTED A 57 KT
   GUST AND THE DOWNSTREAM REMAINS VERY UNSTABLE. EXPECTATION IS FOR
   THE COMPLEX TO CONTINUE NEWD AS IT GRADUALLY BECOMES MORE
   LINEAR...WITH SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE AS THE OUTFLOW
   INTERACTS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE STRETCHING ACROSS FROM NW/W-CNTRL
   IA NEWD TOWARDS THE BOWING LINE ACROSS SE MN AND WAA CONTINUES.
   THERE IS SOME CHANCE DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN THESE SYSTEMS CONSOLIDATES
   INTO A SINGULAR LINE AS IT MOVES ACROSS IA. SOME LOCALIZED HAIL AND
   WIND IS POSSIBLE AND TRENDS ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE MONITORED FOR
   A POTENTIAL WATCH. WATCH PROBABILITY IS 60-PERCENT.

   ..MOSIER/GUYER.. 07/06/2016


   ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...

   LAT...LON   41749697 42539533 42859374 42729303 41969325 41339550
               41249672 41749697