Skip Navigation Links 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 96
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 96 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 0096
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0934 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

   Areas affected...Kentucky and Tennessee

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 5...

   Valid 250334Z - 250500Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 5 continues.

   SUMMARY...The risk for damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes is
   expected to continue with thunderstorms overspreading western into
   central Kentucky and Tennessee through 9-11 PM CDT.  A new tornado
   watch will probably be needed prior to the 03Z scheduled expiration
   of tornado watch 5.

   DISCUSSION...While the primary surface low development begins to
   take shape across portions of the Upper Midwest, the southern edge
   of elongated deepening surface troughing extending to the south is
   forecast to shift east of the Mississippi River into central
   Kentucky and middle Tennessee between now and 03-05Z.  This is where
   large-scale forcing for ascent is maintaining vigorous convective
   development, along and just south of a slow moving warm frontal
   zone.  In the presence of at least weak conditional instability, and
   strong to extreme low-level shear near a 50-70 kt 850 mb speed
   maximum, this may continue to support the evolution of low-level
   mesocyclones within stronger convection, accompanied by locally
   enhanced, damaging wind gusts and perhaps a couple of additional

   ..Kerr.. 02/25/2018

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   37438770 38008491 37358448 36618451 35788504 35478611
               35238786 35378952 36358896 37218841 37438770 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
Page last modified: February 25, 2018
Information Quality
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities