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Mesoscale Discussion 1089 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1089
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0518 PM CDT Thu Jul 19 2018
Areas affected...Eastern Iowa into far northeast Missouri and
northwestern Illinois.
Concerning...Tornado Watch 285...
Valid 192218Z - 192315Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 285 continues.
SUMMARY...Several tornadoes have been confirmed from two supercells
in east central Iowa. The tornado threat continues into the evening
across the eastern half of tornado watch 285.
DISCUSSION...Two supercells have generated numerous confirmed
tornadoes across central and east central Iowa this evening. The
tornado confirmed in Marshalltown, Iowa formed as the northern
supercell interacted with the outflow boundary from the southern
supercell. This supercell has now weakened significantly as it moved
into a cooler airmass east of this outflow boundary. A tornado
threat continues across the entire watch area, but the highest
tornado threat is now associated with the supercell moving into
Keokuk and Wapello counties where instability is maximized with
MLCAPE around 2500 J/kg. Will be watching these storms for upscale
growth over the next hour or two as some CAMS suggest these storms
may congeal and pose a wind threat into northwest Illinois later
this evening.
..Bentley.. 07/19/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...ILX...DVN...DMX...EAX...
LAT...LON 42449371 42579354 42559263 42409201 42269103 42069040
41749007 41199018 40219050 40319172 40349226 40569299
40709333 41699354 42449371
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