ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 181136 
SPC MCD 181136 
LAZ000-TXZ000-181300-

Mesoscale Discussion 0386
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0636 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

Areas affected...portions of western Louisiana and far east Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 81...

Valid 181136Z - 181300Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 81
continues.

SUMMARY...Local/limited severe risk will linger this morning.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows that the convective band which
has been moving across eastern Texas has weakened substantially over
the past hour, as it nears/crosses the Sabine River.  With that
said, a few occasionally stronger updrafts continue to occur within
the otherwise diminishing line of convection, with the strongest
storms to affect Jasper and Newton Counties in Texas in the short
term.  With a moist/unstable airmass remaining over southwest
Louisiana, storms capable of an occasional stronger gust will remain
possible, as the leading edge of the convection crosses the river. 
However, the limited/isolated nature of the threat anticipated
precludes any need for new WW issuance in the near term.

..Goss.. 04/18/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON   30039389 30579436 32549339 32269275 30649208 29679241
            30039389 

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