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Mesoscale Discussion 790
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0790
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0306 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

   Areas affected...Portions of Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles into far
   southwest Kansas and western Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely 

   Valid 252006Z - 252200Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...Storms will continue to move northeastward in the Texas
   Panhandle with some development ahead of these storms in the coming
   hours. Tornado threat will increase into the evening across the area

   DISCUSSION...Strong to severe storms continue to move
   northeast/develop in the Texas Panhandle. With MLCAPE of 2500-3000
   J/kg and effective bulk shear of 40-50 knots, the severe threat will
   continue with large hail and damaging winds. Additionally, low-level
   shear and hodograph curvature increases east of WW238 and the LLJ
   will strengthen this evening leading to an increased tornado threat.
   Storms with unperturbed inflow and maintaining relatively discrete
   supercell structure are likely, although upscale growth will
   eventually occur this evening. A tornado watch issuance is likely

   ..Nauslar/Hart.. 05/25/2019

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   33439925 32929995 32850059 32840121 33000164 33780167
               34890173 35940174 36670164 37090145 37420116 37530025
               37519950 37159900 36529872 35769858 34869865 34089887

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