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Mesoscale Discussion 1082 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1082
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0911 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019
Areas affected...Western Oklahoma
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364...
Valid 160211Z - 160315Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364
continues.
SUMMARY...Significant damaging wind threat emerging in western
Oklahoma.
DISCUSSION...Storms that had developed earlier across the Texas
Panhandle have grown upscale into a mesoscale convective system/bow
echo that is now entering the western tier of counties in Oklahoma.
This system has a history of producing significant damaging wind
gusts of 80+ mph. Forecast soundings support the maintenance in the
short-term, with steep low- and mid-level lapse rates, rich
boundary-layer moisture (70F surface dew point temperatures), ample
instability (4000+ J/kg MLCAPE), and a developing low-level jet.
Outflow along the leading edge of the system has thus far kept pace
with the convection, suggesting the threat for significant damaging
wind gusts will continue for the next couple of hours across
southwest Oklahoma and affect central Oklahoma by 04-05 UTC.
..Karstens.. 06/16/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...LUB...AMA...
LAT...LON 33549884 33500003 33850032 34629995 35640008 36259833
35749700 34009707 33549884
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