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Mesoscale Discussion 1188
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1188
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0940 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

   Areas affected...Eastern Colorado into far western Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 420...

   Valid 220240Z - 220415Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 420

   SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across portions of eastern
   Colorado into western Kansas. Large hail and damaging winds will be
   the primary threat. The severe threat may continue for at least a
   few more hours.

   DISCUSSION...Small-scale bowing segments and discrete, elevated
   supercells remain in progress across portions of northeast CO into
   far west KS, with relatively newer storm development noted over the
   past two hours in El Paso and Crowley counties in CO. Based on the
   latest RAP forecast soundings, these storms are likely rooted within
   the 800-700 mb layer. Despite the elevated nature of these storms,
   steep lapse rates (7.5-8.5 C/km) within the 700-500 mb layer will
   foster large hail growth with the more mature, sustained storms. In
   addition, the heavier cores may be associated with downbursts, where
   severe wind gusts remain a possibility.

   The severe threat may continue for a few more hours, until
   widespread convective overturning diminishes favorable lapse rates
   atop a further stabilizing/decoupling boundary layer.

   ..Squitieri/Kerr.. 06/22/2019

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   38070389 38460444 39020452 39610355 39670265 39430168
               39200114 38560099 38210202 38150295 38070389 

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