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Mesoscale Discussion 1317 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1317
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0306 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2019
Areas affected...Southern MN...Southwest WI...Northeast IA
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 302006Z - 302130Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent
SUMMARY...Strong/severe thunderstorms are expected to spread from
southern MN, southeast along the WI/IA border over the next few
hours.
DISCUSSION...Sustained low-level warm advection appears partly
responsible for renewed post-MCS development across southern MN.
Over the last hour or so updrafts have intensified along a
reinforced boundary draped along the MN/IA border. Intense surface
heating across northern IA has allowed surface temperatures to warm
into the mid 90s and low-level trajectories across this air mass
should fee the southwestern flank of upward evolving complex
extending across southern MN into southwest WI. There is some
concern this activity will grow upscale and propagate southeast
along western periphery of early-day MCS cold pool. Wind/hail are
the primary risks.
..Darrow/Grams.. 06/30/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MKX...DVN...ARX...MPX...DMX...
LAT...LON 43619340 43869130 43389033 42679035 42399129 42699249
43179347 43619340
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