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Mesoscale Discussion 1738
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MD 1738 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 1738
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0658 PM CDT Wed Aug 14 2019

   Areas affected...northeast Colorado through northwest Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 582...

   Valid 142358Z - 150130Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 582

   SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe storms with large hail and
   downburst winds will persist through about 02Z, followed by a
   diminishing trend.

   DISCUSSION...New storms have recently developed near the
   CO/northwest KS border along what appears to be the merger between a
   northwest-southeast oriented boundary and a southwest advancing
   outflow boundary. It remains possible that other isolated storms may
   develop farther northwest over the higher terrain and spread
   southeast. Vertical wind profiles with 40-50 kt effective bulk shear
   support potential for some supercell structures. Activity is
   developing within an environment characterized by weak forcing aloft
   suggesting storms are mostly diurnally driven and should remain
   isolated. Convective inhibition will increase substantially with
   onset of nocturnal cooling, and storms are expected to begin a
   gradual weakening trend by 02Z.

   ..Dial.. 08/14/2019

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   41000272 39790175 38840168 38580242 38690370 39250431
               40830459 41000272 

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