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Mesoscale Discussion 1740
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1740
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0931 PM CDT Wed Aug 14 2019

   Areas affected...eastern Colorado

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 582...

   Valid 150231Z - 150300Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 582

   SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm watch will be allowed to expire at
   03Z. Only one severe storm remains in the southeast part of the WW.
   This storm will continue to pose a threat for large hail and
   downburst winds as it moves into Kiowa and possibly Prowers County
   before diminishing. Another downstream WW is not anticipated.

   DISCUSSION...A lone supercell continues through east central CO.
   RAOB and PFC data show very warm air with 13-14C around 700 mb near
   or just above the base of an elevated mixed layer. It therefore
   appears convective inhibition will continue to increase
   substantially as surface temperatures fall through the 70s. While
   the pressure perturbations within the supercell will help to sustain
   the storm for a while longer, the increasingly hostile thermodynamic
   environment should result in a gradual weakening trend by 04Z.

   ..Dial.. 08/15/2019

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   38380288 39050273 39150215 37890212 37850268 38380288 

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