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Mesoscale Discussion 1754
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1754
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1111 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2019

   Areas affected...eastern Kansas/western Missouri

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 585...

   Valid 160411Z - 160615Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 585 continues.

   SUMMARY...Strong/severe storms continue moving across eastern parts
   of Kansas, within WW 585 (and across western Missouri within WW
   584).  Southeastward advance of the convection/severe risk will
   likely require a new/downstream WW issuance into southeast
   Kansas/southwestern Missouri.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows several severe/supercell storms
   moving south-southeast across eastern Kansas, in eastern portions of
   Tornado Watch 585.  Other strong/locally severe storms are crossing
   western Missouri, and are slightly elevated atop a cooler/more
   stable boundary layer.

   The eastern Kansas storms remain in proximity to the mixed-layer
   CAPE axis, and are being fed by a 40 kt southwesterly low-level jet.
   This kinematic/thermodynamic configuration should support a
   continuation of the intense eastern Kansas storms, which will
   continue to spread south-southeastward and eventually exit WW 585. 
   With the Missouri storms also beginning to exit WW 584, a new WW
   will likely be required.  This watch will likely replace both
   existing watches, and will include the ongoing storms, and extend
   downstream into southeast Kansas/southwest Missouri.

   ..Goss.. 08/16/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...OAX...TOP...ICT...

   LAT...LON   37859633 39089669 40049607 39469462 38749337 37539288
               36609294 37139546 37589627 37859633 

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