Mesoscale Discussion 0044
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0348 PM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

   Areas affected...Portions of northeastern GA and western NC/SC

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 112148Z - 112345Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...At least an isolated severe threat may exist with storms
   moving northeastward. Watch issuance is possible in the next 1-2
   hours.

   DISCUSSION...A long lived squall line has maintained its intensity
   across northwestern GA this afternoon, with isolated to scattered
   damaging wind reports received. As a powerful upper-level trough
   with attendant 90-110+ kt mid-level southwesterly jet overspreads
   the OH Valley and central Appalachians early this evening, low-level
   moisture transport will continue northward across GA and into parts
   of western NC/SC. Widespread cloud cover and poor mid-level lapse
   rates will limit instability, with MLCAPE expected to remain less
   than 500 J/kg. Regardless, strong low and mid-level shear may
   support the continuation of at least some updraft organization as
   storms move northeastward into parts of northern GA and western
   NC/SC early this evening. Isolated damaging winds would likely be
   the primary threat, but a tornado or two cannot be ruled out given
   the degree of low-level shear. Although not immediately likely,
   watch issuance is possible in the next 1-2 hours.

   ..Gleason/Hart.. 01/11/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GSP...FFC...

   LAT...LON   34308360 35048344 35338365 35678325 35748264 35438214
               34598222 34018266 33848300 34018342 34308360