Mesoscale Discussion 0045
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0521 PM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

   Areas affected...southeast Alabama...Florida Panhandle...southwest
   Georgia

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 16...

   Valid 112321Z - 120115Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 16 continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across portions of WW0016 with
   damaging winds and a brief tornado remaining possible. A local
   extension may be necessary downstream of WW0016 in the next 1-2
   hours.

   DISCUSSION...A squall line continues to move eastward across the
   Southeast with a history of damaging winds, including a 56 knot gust
   in Dothan, AL at 2301 UTC, and brief tornadoes embedded within the
   line. As the upper-level shortwave trough lifts more to the
   northeast, forcing for ascent will begin to wane ahead of the line,
   especially farther across southern Georgia and northern Florida.
   Additionally, mesoanalysis indicates increasing stabilization ahead
   of line as insolation fades. As such, the southern portion of the
   QLCS will likely weaken in the next 1-3 hours as it moves into a
   less favorable environment. However, it may move out of WW0016
   before doing so, possibly necessitating a local watch extension
   downstream with damaging winds and a brief tornado continuing as the
   severe threats.

   ..Nauslar/Guyer.. 01/11/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...

   LAT...LON   29628577 30058593 31478520 31768470 31888392 31828362
               31758328 31258323 30698332 30288344 29958370 29698403
               29578462 29468509 29628577