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Mesoscale Discussion 0061
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0407 PM CST Fri Jan 17 2020
Areas affected...northeast MO into central IL and far southeast IA
Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation
Valid 172207Z - 180300Z
SUMMARY...Freezing rain, mixed with sleet at times, is expected to
continue/spread northeast through the evening. Some areas near the
I-70 vicinity will likely transition to all rain over the next few
hours as temperatures slowly warm above freezing.
DISCUSSION...Precipitation will continue lifting northeastward
through the evening. The current surface freezing line extended
roughly along the I-70 corridor across MO into IL. Areas of light to
moderate freezing rain will continue in this vicinity and northward
across northeast MO into central IL this evening. Where snow is
currently falling, a transition to freezing rain, possibly mixed
with sleet at times, is expected over the next few hours as strong
warm advection results in warming aloft in a layer from
approximately 900-800 mb with temperatures ranging from 29-32
degrees. Surface temperatures will continue to warm from south to
north across the broader MO/IL vicinity and some areas on the
southern sides of the MCD area could transition to all rain within
the next few hours. Further north, freezing rain rates will
generally be 0.01-0.04 in/hr, though some brief periods of higher
rates are possible.
..Leitman.. 01/17/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...
LAT...LON 38859194 38669064 38888941 39548807 39928792 40248805
40508845 40708946 40789033 40749124 40719207 40689282
40619330 40519356 40299368 40029357 39699336 39309273
38859194
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