Mesoscale Discussion 0080
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0347 PM CST Wed Feb 05 2020

   Areas affected...Northern and central Alabama

   Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely 

   Valid 052147Z - 052345Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

   SUMMARY...Storms in central Mississippi have increased in intensity
   over the last hour. These storms are expected to continue northeast
   into central/northern Alabama coincident with an increasingly
   favorable environment for severe storms. Tornadoes, with a strong
   tornado possible, as well as damaging winds and isolated large hail
   will be possible this evening. A tornado watch is likely in the next
   hour or two.

   DISCUSSION...With the continued approach of a mid-level trough, the
   environment within northern and central Alabama should become more
   favorable for severe thunderstorms later this afternoon into the
   evening. Severe storms are ongoing across central Mississippi and
   have been increasing in intensity over the last hour. With time,
   mid-level cooling and low-level theta-e advection will help to
   increase buoyancy across the region to 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE.
   Currently, KHTX/KBMX VAD profiles show 250-300 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH.
   With an increase in 850 mb flow this evening, low-level hodographs
   only improve with time. As storms in Mississippi continue northeast,
   they will continue to pose a threat for a few tornadoes, some
   potentially strong. Damaging wind gusts and isolated large hail are
   possible. A tornado watch will be needed in the next 1-2 hours.

   ..Wendt/Hart.. 02/05/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

   LAT...LON   33268837 34038855 34528878 34968844 34988788 34938605
               34578560 34078551 33638542 33018556 32668661 32598750
               32608802 32758828 33198832 33268837